Sports Prediction Exchange vs Betting Exchange: What's the Difference? TL;DR: A betting exchange and a sports prediction exchange run on the same core idea. You trade against other people rather than a bookmaker, and the platform earns a commission instead of building a margin into the price. If you have used Betfair or Smarkets, you already understand most
What Is a Sports Prediction Exchange? How Trading on Pred Works TL;DR: A sports prediction exchange is a marketplace where traders buy and sell contracts on sports outcomes directly with each other, through a shared order book, instead of placing a wager against a bookmaker. Each contract is priced between one cent and 99 cents, its implied probability, and pays
What happens in the 200ms after a goal, and the three minutes after the whistle Live sports trading is two speed problems, not one. The first is execution: matching a trade and updating every screen inside 200 milliseconds. The second is resolution: settling the market within minutes of the result, not the hours a general prediction exchange takes. Most products are built for neither. A
What Polymarket Got Right (And What Comes Next) The 2024 election did something unusual: it made prediction markets cool. For years, these platforms existed on the fringes, interesting to a small crowd of quants and crypto-natives, largely ignored by everyone else. Then Polymarket happened. Suddenly, prediction markets weren't just an academic curiosity. They were on
